{"id":1267,"date":"2024-01-04T18:51:03","date_gmt":"2024-01-04T18:51:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/?p=1267"},"modified":"2024-12-01T08:31:04","modified_gmt":"2024-12-01T08:31:04","slug":"5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/","title":{"rendered":"5 Crypto Predictions for 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I always liked making predictions over a course of a year.<\/p>\n<p>And I especially like to be rewarded for being right when doing so.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s how I see 2024 playing out in the context of the cryptocurrency market:<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_60 ez-toc-wrap-center counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-white ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title \" >Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\" role=\"button\"><label for=\"item-6765d6b703723\" ><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input aria-label=\"Toggle\" aria-label=\"item-6765d6b703723\"  type=\"checkbox\" id=\"item-6765d6b703723\"><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/#1_Bitcoin_ETF_Approval_in_the_US\" title=\"1. Bitcoin ETF Approval in the US\">1. Bitcoin ETF Approval in the US<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/#2_Bitcoin_Price_Prediction\" title=\"2. Bitcoin Price Prediction\">2. Bitcoin Price Prediction<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/#3_Upcoming_Narratives\" title=\"3. Upcoming Narratives\">3. Upcoming Narratives<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/#4_The_Year_of_Airdrops\" title=\"4. The Year of Airdrops\">4. The Year of Airdrops<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/#5_The_End_of_Tight_Monetary_Policy\" title=\"5. The End of Tight Monetary Policy\">5. The End of Tight Monetary Policy<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/#Summary\" title=\"Summary\">Summary<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"1_Bitcoin_ETF_Approval_in_the_US\"><\/span>1. Bitcoin ETF Approval in the US<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>My prediction is that a spot Bitcoin ETF will be approved this year.<\/p>\n<p>The gates are open and there&#8217;s no going back &#8211; the big players want in. BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale, WisdomTree, VanEck and others already applied for an <a href=\"https:\/\/dpetkovski.com\/etfs-exchange-traded-funds\/\">ETF<\/a> and the pressure is on the SEC as billions wait to enter this market.<\/p>\n<p>Needless to say, this will create a shift in demand. At the same time, it&#8217;ll coincide with the supply shock of the block reward halving. I&#8217;ll let you figure out what this means for the price.<\/p>\n<p>I have to mention: I don&#8217;t care about the Bitcoin ETF. I won&#8217;t buy it, I won&#8217;t recommend it. <a href=\"https:\/\/dpetkovski.com\/the-inevitability-of-bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> didn&#8217;t solve <a href=\"https:\/\/dpetkovski.com\/self-custody-explained-not-your-keys-not-your-coins\/\">self-custody<\/a> for traders to gift their keys to institutions.<\/p>\n<p>But n00bs that <em>&#8220;want to allocate 1% of their net-worth to crypto&#8221;<\/em> will love it.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"2_Bitcoin_Price_Prediction\"><\/span>2. Bitcoin Price Prediction<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>I already wrote about this in May 2023 on my <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/petkovskix\/status\/1655459175437041665\">first thread on X<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1391 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/btc-thread.png\" alt=\"prediction\" width=\"352\" height=\"476\" \/><\/p>\n<p>I believe we already entered the &#8220;bull market confirmed&#8221; stage. I&#8217;ll post a more detailed post about Bitcoin&#8217;s short-term price, but in summary:<\/p>\n<p>I expect $BTC to be either close to or breach its all-time-high this year. The &#8220;big&#8221; predictions (i.e. price discovery) are for 2025.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"3_Upcoming_Narratives\"><\/span>3. Upcoming Narratives<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a list of crypto\/DeFi narratives I think will blow up:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Native cross-chain swaps\u00a0<\/strong>(THORChain, Maya Protocol, Chainflip &#8211; the ones that go beyond the EVM)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ethereum &amp; L2s <\/strong>(all governance tokens of L2 networks, preferably acquired via airdrops)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Bitcoin Ecosystem<\/strong> (Stacks, Ordinals, BRC-20s &#8211; just holding free mints and Bitmaps was already worthwhile)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Restaking\u00a0<\/strong>(EigenLayer is building a revolutionary solution and there are many liquid restaking tokens available too)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"4_The_Year_of_Airdrops\"><\/span>4. The Year of Airdrops<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>If you missed the airdrop potential of the bear market, this is your chance to get involved!<\/p>\n<p>If you don&#8217;t know the term: an <strong>airdrop\u00a0<\/strong>is a distribution of tokens from a project as a reward to its users.<\/p>\n<p>Some drops aren&#8217;t worth it, but others can be worth hundreds of thousands of dollars (literally). Usually there are no guarantees or announcements about this. Instead, they happen as a surprise drop to your wallet based on some criteria at a given time.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the ones I&#8217;ll definitely be eligible for or already expecting:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Ethereum L2s<\/strong> (ZkSync, Scroll, Linea, Manta Pacific, Taiko, Base, Zora, StarkNet, etc.)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Bridges <\/strong>(LayerZero, Wormhole, Orbiter Finance, Owlto Finance, etc.)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ecosystem-specific<\/strong> (MarginFi, Kamino Finance, MayanSwap, SyncSwap, Vertex, etc.)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Many others:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/dpetkovski.com\/preparation-for-eigenlayers-restaking-unpause-airdrop-opportunity\/\">EigenLayer<\/a>, Namada, Dymension, Venom, MetaMask, Aleo, Tabi, Omni, opBNB, XAI, ElDorado, etc.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>I can&#8217;t list them all because there are updates daily. I definitely forgot a bunch as well.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve made multiple 5 figures from airdrops during 2023 and the narrative continues to deliver. Just to name a few: Celestia, Arbitrum, Optimism, Maya Protocol, Mayan Gold, multiple Cosmos ecosystem airdrops, and <a href=\"https:\/\/dpetkovski.com\/a-day-in-a-life-of-a-crypto-investor\/\">most recently<\/a> ZkFair.<\/p>\n<p>Again, these are just from the last year and from the top of my head. But I think you get the picture.<\/p>\n<p>Long story short: new projects are being built. They built on top of each other and reward active users and early participation.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"5_The_End_of_Tight_Monetary_Policy\"><\/span>5. The End of Tight Monetary Policy<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The FED seems closer to declaring victory over inflation by the day.<\/p>\n<p>Whether this will manifest itself as rate cuts or <a href=\"https:\/\/dpetkovski.com\/how-the-money-printer-makes-you-poor\/\">increasing the money supply<\/a> in other ways, I think we&#8217;re nearing a loosening of the monetary policy.<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;re also entering a US election year. This usually corelates with good performance in the stock market as no candidate wants a declining S&amp;P 500 while running for president. By the way, for bonus points, my crystal balls tells me that a republican will win this cycle.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, nobody can tell exactly when the rate hikes will stop, but I&#8217;m confident in predicting it over a course of a year.<\/p>\n<p>PS I keep seeing people failing to position themselves properly for a rate cutting environment. That&#8217;s why I included a macro prediction besides crypto. But of course, all prices will be affected by a loose monetary policy &#8211; both groceries&#8217; and (digital) assets&#8217;.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Summary\"><\/span>Summary<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>There&#8217;s no better way to summarize this post except: 2024 will be epic for crypto!<\/p>\n<p>Congrats if you&#8217;re already riding the wave. \ud83d\ude80<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I always liked making predictions over a course of a year. And I especially like to be rewarded for being right when doing so. Here&rsquo;s how I see 2024 playing out in the context of the cryptocurrency market: 1. Bitcoin ETF Approval in the US My prediction is that a spot Bitcoin ETF will be&nbsp;&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1360,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[4],"class_list":["post-1267","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>5 Crypto Predictions for 2024 - D. Petkovski<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"5 Crypto Predictions for 2024 - D. Petkovski","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/"},"author":{"name":"D. Petkovski","@id":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/#\/schema\/person\/ce4d9bf1ba43635723c9d1b513b58049"},"headline":"5 Crypto Predictions for 2024","datePublished":"2024-01-04T18:51:03+00:00","dateModified":"2024-12-01T08:31:04+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/"},"wordCount":758,"publisher":{"@id":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/#\/schema\/person\/ce4d9bf1ba43635723c9d1b513b58049"},"articleSection":["Cryptocurrency"],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/","url":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/5-predictions-for-2024-cryptocurrency-edition\/","name":"5 Crypto Predictions for 2024 - D. 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Petkovski","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/#\/schema\/person\/ce4d9bf1ba43635723c9d1b513b58049"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":["Person","Organization"],"@id":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/#\/schema\/person\/ce4d9bf1ba43635723c9d1b513b58049","name":"D. Petkovski","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/23494c9101089ad44ae88ce9d2f56aac","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"D. Petkovski"},"logo":{"@id":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/23494c9101089ad44ae88ce9d2f56aac"},"description":"D. Petkovski \ud83d\udcd3 The Author\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Husband &amp; Father Software Engineer\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0StrengthCentric \u20bfitcoin Hodler\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0Long-Term Investor\u00a0 \ud83c\udf0d Everything Enthusiast \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\ud83d\udd25 Optimist READ MORE","sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/dpetkovski","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/strengthcentric\/","https:\/\/twitter.com\/petkovskix"],"url":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/author\/petkovski\/"}]}},"authors":[{"term_id":4,"user_id":1,"is_guest":0,"slug":"petkovski","display_name":"D. Petkovski","avatar_url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/?s=96&d=mm&r=g","user_url":"","last_name":"","first_name":"","description":"<span style=\"font-size: 23px\">D. Petkovski<\/span> <br> <br>\r\n\r\n\ud83d\udcd3 The Author\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0  \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<span class=\"css-1qaijid r-bcqeeo r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\"><img class=\"emoji\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/s.w.org\/images\/core\/emoji\/14.0.0\/svg\/1f46a.svg\" alt=\"\ud83d\udc6a\" \/> Husband &amp; Father <\/span>\r\n<br>\r\n<span class=\"css-1qaijid r-bcqeeo r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\"><img class=\"emoji\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/s.w.org\/images\/core\/emoji\/14.0.0\/svg\/1f5a5.svg\" alt=\"\ud83d\udda5\ufe0f\" \/> Software Engineer\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 <\/span><span class=\"css-1qaijid r-bcqeeo r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\"><img class=\"emoji\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/s.w.org\/images\/core\/emoji\/14.0.0\/svg\/1f4aa.svg\" alt=\"\ud83d\udcaa\" \/><\/span><span class=\"css-1qaijid r-bcqeeo r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\">\u00a0StrengthCentric <\/span>\r\n<br>\r\n<span class=\"r-18u37iz\"><img class=\"r-4qtqp9 r-dflpy8 r-zw8f10 r-10akycc r-h9hxbl r-9cviqr\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.coingecko.com\/coins\/images\/1\/large\/bitcoin.png?1696501400\" alt=\"\u20bf\" width=\"20\" height=\"20\" \/><\/span> \u20bfitcoin <span class=\"css-1qaijid r-bcqeeo r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\">Hodler\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0   \u00a0                            \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span><span class=\"css-1qaijid r-bcqeeo r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\"><img class=\"emoji\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/s.w.org\/images\/core\/emoji\/14.0.0\/svg\/1f4c8.svg\" alt=\"\ud83d\udcc8\" \/><\/span>\u00a0<span class=\"r-18u37iz\">Long-Term Investor<\/span><span class=\"css-1qaijid r-bcqeeo r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\">\u00a0<\/span>\r\n<br>\r\n\ud83c\udf0d Everything Enthusiast              \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0   \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0              \u00a0   \u00a0\ud83d\udd25 Optimist <br>\r\n\r\n<p style=\"text-align: left;margin-top:35px\"><a href=\"https:\/\/dpetkovski.com\/about\"><span style=\"background: #15d798;border-radius: 11px;padding: 13px 27px;color: #ffffff;font-weight: bold;font-size: 20px\">READ MORE<\/span><\/a><p>"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1267","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1267"}],"version-history":[{"count":28,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1267\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4567,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1267\/revisions\/4567"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1360"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1267"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1267"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1267"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/localhost\/dpetkovski\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=1267"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}